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European natural gas cost survey

Identifieur interne : 002213 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 002212; suivant : 002214

European natural gas cost survey

Auteurs : Carol Dahl [États-Unis] ; Eystein Gjelsvik [Norvège]

Source :

RBID : ISTEX:8CD4A4CCAB6B3409833C946D31207E069B89E844

Abstract

Non-transparency of European natural gas supply costs has understandably led to a fair amount of diversity in computed costs reported in the literature. To provide information on gas costs and the range of uncertainty, we survey these costs. We find a fairly high degree of divergence with a ratio of the average high cost estimate to the average low cost estimate averaging almost 2.44 for gas operating plus development costs for new gas fields, 1.77 for specific long-distance transport links, and 5 for gas distribution costs by country. Costs diverge for a variety of reasons. There is variance depending upon whether costs are measured at the well-head or border, for city gas or at the end user. The level of aggregation varies from field to country to continent. Reported construction costs can vary from ex post to ex ante. Often costs are not available and the researcher must rely on indirect information and personal judgement to ascertain costs. Differing opinions on the appropriate discount rate, currency conversions and the non-homogeneity of gas can all contribute to the computed cost variation. In general computed costs tended to be lower than those collected from the trade literature.

Url:
DOI: 10.1016/0301-4207(93)90005-8


Affiliations:


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Le document en format XML

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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Non-transparency of European natural gas supply costs has understandably led to a fair amount of diversity in computed costs reported in the literature. To provide information on gas costs and the range of uncertainty, we survey these costs. We find a fairly high degree of divergence with a ratio of the average high cost estimate to the average low cost estimate averaging almost 2.44 for gas operating plus development costs for new gas fields, 1.77 for specific long-distance transport links, and 5 for gas distribution costs by country. Costs diverge for a variety of reasons. There is variance depending upon whether costs are measured at the well-head or border, for city gas or at the end user. The level of aggregation varies from field to country to continent. Reported construction costs can vary from ex post to ex ante. Often costs are not available and the researcher must rely on indirect information and personal judgement to ascertain costs. Differing opinions on the appropriate discount rate, currency conversions and the non-homogeneity of gas can all contribute to the computed cost variation. In general computed costs tended to be lower than those collected from the trade literature.</div>
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